HomeBusiness Vietnam sees 2010 GDP growth at 6.5-7%
Vietnam sees 2010 GDP growth at 6.5-7%
Tuesday, 09 June 2009
Vietnam's
government expects economic growth to pick up from next year after slumping to
a 10 year low this year.
"The main task for 2010's socio-economic development plan is to try to
achieve a GDP growth of 6.5-7 percent," the government said in a
statement.
To keep the economy from crashing this year Vietnam has deployed an array of
stimulus measures anchored by a loan subsidy scheme under which the central
bank is funding 4 percentage points worth of interest on qualified business
loans.
The World Bank in a new report has
recommended that the scheme be phased out to stave off inflation.
Late last month, the government proposed to parliament that the gross
domestic product target for this year be lowered to about 5 percent, although
many economists say even that will be a difficult mark to hit as the global
economic recession pushed first quarter GDP growth to its lowest level in
years.
GDP growth in the Southeast Asian country averaged 7.5 percent from
1996-2005, according to the Ministry of Planning and Investment.
Last year, GDP growth was 6.2 percent, down from 8.5 percent in 2007. In
1999 it sunk to 4.5 percent due to tough regional economic conditions and
natural disasters.
Hanoi has
also set an economic growth target of between 7 and 8 percent a year in the
2011-2015 period.
In a mid-year report to a donors meeting on Monday on the state of the
economy, the World Bank noted with concern that credit growth was again growing
rapidly. "Combined with the bottoming out of commodity prices, this may
require paying attention to inflation pressures once more," the report
said.
"The interest rate subsidy scheme, which played an important role in
the initial phase of the stimulus policy, has lost its justification now that
credit is flowing again, and could bring back the inefficiencies associated
with policy lending."
About 13.5 trillion dong (S$1.1 billion) of a planned 18 trillion dong in
interest rate subsidies for businesses has been delivered, prompting 15 percent
loan growth so far this year, largely concentrated in the second quarter.
It was unclear if the World Bank was recommending that the scheme should be
cancelled before all the planned funds are disbursed.
The government asked the central bank to order commercial banks to shorten
the time to assess projects and lend under the subsidy scheme, a report said on
Tuesday. It also asked authorities to speed up fund disbursement to
infrastructure projects.